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I was asked to check out this movie by a few friends, and pass my opinions along. Halfway through it, I realized what they saw.
 
It's an entertaining movie, and the special effects are worth the price of admission by themselves.
 
The story line is a dissappointment on a couple of levels. Cameron always presents a little simplicity in his story telling- sometimes it seems almost an excuse to move the visual presentation along. But I think he feel asleep in front of CNN a few too many times while he was writing this one.
 
I won't take down his tech advisors, James may have ignored them. The side effects of a low gravity planet were conveyed well- tall natives who did a lot of vertical jumping to do things where we would walk, etc. Maybe they told the Director that a medium sized moon would be have too unstable a surface for most life in close proximity to a Jupiter sized planet, maybe they didn't. But it presented a better visual, so who cares, right? Let him tell the story.
 
Then again, there was the simplistic eveil humans vs. the complex mystic natives. The evil high tech fighting the persistent natives with the bows and arrows. Worse yet, it wasn't the human race per se, we were represented by a corporation in partership with the military!
 
At least in Aliens, Cameron posed those two groups as a hostile partnership. No, here, the humans destroyed their world (Globla Warming Alert!), and were now looking to destroy another.
 
The political references were thick and fast. The cnetral figure was in a wheelchair, but the military would not pay to fix his spine (VA benefits). The military was looking to fight a "premptive war" against "terror", when terrorism had not been raised in concept at all in the plot. The climactic military campaign was presnted as "shock and awe", and was centered on a human bombing run against the core of the native's religious homeland.
 
Some of the tech presented was right out of his own Aliens movies, but who knows? Maybe they were both supposed to be 22nd century. Cameron obviously researched the 1981 movie, Brainstorm, because he not only incorporated some of it's concepts, but stole some of it's musical thematics wholesale for the tragic moments.
 
Does everything have to be politics? The original Terminator was such a dizzying logcal loop that it was fun to follow, even if you understood the true lack of paradox, or cause and effect, that follows time travel. Avatar was a New York Times editorial with world class special effects, nothing more.
 
 
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Health Care

The new world is almost upon us. Don't kid yourself, folks, the Democrats have the numbers, and they all know that they have a rough year coming. They think that their only hope of averting a Hurricane Katrina election is to stand on their new, great health care accomplishment.
 
In light of that, the recalcitrants in the House and the Senate took their bribes like men and will actually be surprised next spring when their retribution will hit them in the primaries AND the election cycle. The Senate/ House reconciliation process will not be the circus that some are predicting. Read the tea leaves, folks: it was harder to get it through the Senate because of the 60 vote cloture rules, so the House will swallow the Senate version almost whole. They need this package to be signed before the state of the union speech in late January.
 
I say, let it ride. It's easy for me to say that, I am in a position of total powerlessness. When the ridiculous parade of town hall meetings passed and the Democrats proceeded as if they never happened (it was all contrived "astroturf"), I knew it was all about whatever numbers the Democrats could put together.
 
They pass it off as deficit neutral. They start charging taxes for it next year, but hold off most of it's benefits until 2014, which helps the projected numbers for the first ten years. Wait, it gets better: the projections call for Congress to cut Medicare by almost $500B in the next ten years. What are the chances they will actually follow through with that?
 
Medicare and Medicaid are already paying 70-80% of mormal fee for services. That, folks, is not 70% of what the doctors think they should. It is 70% of what Medicare thinks they should be paying. It is a fraction of a fraction, already! Congress is promising to cut back from that!
 
Who makes up the difference, so doctors and hospitals continue to treat seniors? All workers with health insurance. We are subsidizing the government, and now the govrnment wants to expand this lunacy to the entire health care sector of the economy.
 
This is where the Democrats are mistaken. Their worst nightmare in 2010 comes if they actually pass this thing. They are so focused on this that they don't see the downside. This is what happens when you are led by a Congresswoman from San Francisco, or a President who was in national office for fifteen months when he decided to run for the White House.
 
There will be hell to pay if this passes. The same groundswell that the Democrats are passing off as fringe lunatics and the media is doing their best to ignore will bite them in the butt next year.
 
Both groups make the same mistake: they look at the uprising as a Republican obstruction, when it really is a more generic, anti-government thing. They are both so myopic at this point that they may never make the distinction.
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Obama Is Obama

But what exactly is he? His psychohistory is still being written, the task made much harder by his aloofness. Two years into Clinton's presidency, David Maraniss wrote "First In His Class", probably still the best analysis of what makes that man tick- brought it all the way back to a dynamic poli sci, public service class in college as his 'center'.
 
I watched Barrack's Afghanistan speech like I was watching a tennis match, bouncing back and forth between his "unambiguous" projection of military force with (what he regarded as) a non-conflicting announcement that the withdrawal will start on a date certain next August. Of course, the next morning, all his spokesmen were touting this date as purey contingent on circumstances.
 
So he announces a buildup to curry those who would hold him soft on defense otherwise. Then he announces the start of withdrawal to appease his base, ostensibly to light a fire under the Kabul government. What, he didn't think Al-Queda was watching?
 
The bottom line is, where exactly is Obama on all this, when the TV lights aren't on? Does anybody know?
 
This was brought into higher relief when Obama went to Norway to accept his Nobel Prize, and lectured the European audience on the occasional necessity of war, along with a recitation on the benign American history of military force there. Hell, I could have made that speech! Where on earth did that come from?
 
Here is where I am right now: I'm beginning to understand that, in order to get a handle on what Obama is, you have to understand what the center of his world is. In his case, that is Barrack Obama. I think the most important consultations he holds are in the shaving mirror every morning.
 
He is not an ideologue. Yes, he is clearly a liberal, and he holds fealty to liberal ideas without question or doubt. And while they are his clear preference, he walks away from them at will to places that leave his supporters in confused tatters. Anybody who wants Guantanamo Base closed does not have any idea why Obama would leave a loophole in his 'no more torture' rule changes to allow him to do the same thing Bush did, at his whim.
 
The only thing centrally important to Obama, the last thing he would give up, is...Obama. You had all better get used to it.
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So Much Hubris, So Little Time

Here I am again, trying to catch up. I have a few major things to review, but I'll stick here with some of the things that, by comparison, fall into the news cracks:
 
GM pays back it's T.A.R.P. money- with what? They've lost more this year, and in the third quarter, than they paid back to the taxpayers. Which leaves the only remaining possibility: they paid us back with our money! I guess "too big to fail" means that your accounants can make up their rules as they go along.
 
Bernanke is Time magazine's "Man of the Year" for 2009. Last year, Obama got it for doing nothing yet, save running fr office (I guess he won for his campaign). This year, the winner's best work was in September, 2009. What Ben, Tim Geithner and Henry Paulson put together after Leman Brothers died, to keep the credit market from drying up for years is something every financial market should kiss their butts for, for decades. What has Ben done in 2009? I don't get it.
 
Sarah Palin signs books in Iowa, too. When it comes to Presidential politics, even the mainstream media can't ignore her. She is a player on the stage, and she sucks oxygen from everybody else around. At this point, I don't think she knows what to do with that.
 
New financial regulations: when the notion first came down the pike that the feds were thinking about abrogating contracts made by private sector parties in the banking industry, conservatives weren't the only ones out there saying that the notion was a "bill of attainder". Now, it's taken as a given in D.C. and the media. There is a concept that grew in the 20th century here that stepping outside of the Constitution was more or less OK, if there was a clear popular concensus behind it. That is why the White House was able to completely ignore the War Powers Act- there was a clear majority on both sides that agreed that the Exeutive branch needed more autonomy in that world than the founding fathers envisioned. Do we all want to run the banks? Do we want to turn them into the Post Office?
 
The federal government doesn't see any recession: they are hiring faster than ever, and are doing so with jobs that pay nearly twice as much as the private sector. That isn't quite accurate- the average is pushed up by the fact that $150k" jobs in the federal sectr have exploded since Obama took office. It's nice to see them doing well, and I do what I can to contribute. That is, as a taxpayer, I don't really have much of a choice.
 
The EPA has declared CO2 a toxic, regulatable substance. That was an attempt to tell Congress that they better pass cap & trade, and anther message to the Copenhagen summit that Obama was serious now. I'm happy that, even though they don't see the need to act right now, the government has the ability now to regulate and tax me, every time I exhale.
 
 
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Sarah Palin's 2009 Tour

The lightning rod is out there again, drawing jeers and cheers in the high decibel range.
 
Her presence is an unapologetic slap in the face at both coasts and most of the northern cities. The book itself is a slap at the Beltway crowd. There is no index, and everybody knows that D.C. people love to peruse the index to see where they are mentioned. They all had to actually read the damned thing, and there will be hell to pay for that.
 
Sarah is an advance man's dream. Tell everybody where she will show up, and the overflow crowds appear without any effort. The flyover people love her, and would run through a wall for her.
 
She is trying to establish a new media model. George W. Bush let his detractors write his history, and she is openly defying the power of the media to write hers. She is openly mocking the mainstream media, and not caring about maintaining cordial relations.
 
This is a dangerous game. When the old media mocks you, you lose swing voters in the process. If enough swing voters need to be convinced first that you are qualified for office, that is historically a huge burden to overcome. I don't know if she can do it, but I agree with her that it is her only choice.
 
She may not rise to national office- soon. She will at least be a credible Republican kingmaker in 2012, and her support of candidates will garner her chits for future plans.
 
I think she may have a chance when she gets older, and has a few more wrinkles, which casual observers will equate to gravitas. But she will not succeed before then- we won't get over the brutal sexism of the notion that attractive women aren't capable.
 
We are in the middle of a full ought culture war in this country, and Sarah is the poster child for the conservative side. Her supporters are tired of being told that the cadidates they support are stupid and unqualified, and by logical extension, they are stupid, too. They are enjoying watching the blood pressure of her detractors explode every time she talks.
 
At least I am.
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Economics Review

I understand that the best guess of the economic theories of Obama and his advisors equate them as some sort of neo-Keynesians.
 
Keynes would welcome their efforts at "trickle up" economics. His theories of aggregate demand would hold that jobs were created by increasing consumer demand- when people are able to buy more, businesses will chase after the money by producing more.
 
The new American left perverts Keynes from the top and the bottom. Obama's "middle class tax cut" was to jiggle up the withholding rates on everybody the the tune of an extra $14 a week earlier this year, until they reached $400. You already got it, folks. What did you do with all that money?
 
Then, at the top, they threaten the business class with all sorts of onerous tax increases. "Soak the rich", that old populist bastion. Whiile Keynes applauded that while he was alive, it wasn't part of his theory, not directly.
 
So, if the government is tapped out, and the tax burden increases, what is the end result of Obamanomics? More government, that's what. It is designed to get us all used to a European tax burden, and the European government/ business model.
 
This is what the Clinton people strove for in 1993, but they ran into a wall real fast, and back tracked to get what they could.
 
Obama is glued to this end game, and he is willing to sacrifice a second term to get it off the ground.
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Global Warming- Er, Climate Change

The Kyoto accords were feted wildly by the Clinton administration ten years ago, but when the Senate told them almost unanimously that it was the work of lunatics, even Al Gore saw fit to let it slide. Sometimes the best of intentions run into a wall when you try and make it national policy.
 
Which is what might be happening now, when all the Senators and Congressmen who face the ungodly tax increases they would be dumping on their voters with "Cap and Trade" can't seem to gather a simple majority, even though the left poses it as the future.
 
Global warming has been running into the same reality wall here, now that it is close to becoming a basis for actual policy.
 
Here is the problem: the science isn't there. Not even close. It's being presented as a consensus, but when you dig into it empirically, it is a joke. It is talking points. It is conjecture. It is "Doctor Venkmann" science (Ghostbusters reference alert).
 
That is the tragedy of environmental science today. It is not science anymore. At best, it is politics. At worst, it is demagogic religion. The worst parts of it are an outgrowth of the limits to growth, anti-sprawl movement.
 
It is sad to see educated people stoop to this, and to then label my skepticism as some sort of depraved, indifferent, uncaring ignorance, as Al Gore often does.
 
I wasn't intimidated by that garbage when I started. What do they think they will get in response now?
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New York- The Catatonic State

Rudy Giuliani has decided not to chase after the New York Governor's office in 2010. It remains to be seen if he wants to compete for Hillebrand's Senate seat, but his reticence has dissappointed the state GOP.
 
Wow. The party that Pataki helped run aground? The party that has, what, two members left in it's Congressional delegation?
 
I think Rudy still has ideas about President in 2012. And, as one of FDR's compatriots noted, the only cure for Presidential  fever is repeated injections of formaldehyde.
 
Why on earth would any Republican want to preside in Albany? If I were to take office there, my agenda would be simple:
 
1) Hit up the Silver and Bruno people for bribes to ignore the 'women and children first' order.
2) Lower all lifeboats.
3) Wire the Californian again to see if they can help.
4) Turn out the lights.
 
New York is still losing population. It's safe to say that they are moving anywhere except Michigan and California, two states that make New York look like a business and libertarian haven by comparison.
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What Idiot Came Up With This?

They want to close Guantanamo, they just can't find anybody who see our new, enlightened ways and will take anybody we are holding there. So let's prosecute them. In New York. In a civilian court!
 
How stoned do you have to be to make sense of that? I understand Bloomberg thinks they are up to all the security problems- and who is paying for the extra Police? We all will.
 
I pity the poor judicial soul who gets to preside over that three ring circus. These guys were captured in a war zone- did anybody read them their Miranda Rights? How long will it take to get through the myriad of legal motions? How do they plan to fight the obvious grounds for change of venue, especially after the Attorney General got done talking publicly about how they should be prosecuted near the scene of the crime?
 
Here is the nuttiest part: one big reason we wanted a military tribunal is that the evidence rules would not compromise our anti-terror tactics. Bin Ladin left the Sudan for Afghanistan in part because he learned we held him as a terror suspect from the evidence releases stemming from the trials of the blind Sheik in the 1993 World Trade Center bombings.
 
We are still at war, folks. I am not going to convince Eric Holder or his boss that we are fighting with our hands tied until they first face the fact that the war exists. They still think it is some sort of Bush political plot.
 
So let's the dancing midgets out of the Volkswagon and open court. Get it over with.
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We No Longer Have Terrorism

It's all been redefined. It is now "man caused disaster".
 
Well, call me an old fogey, but I was about two hours into the Fort Hood bulletins when I knew it was a terror incident. I don't care how long he served or what rank he was. He was a practicing Muslim and he was shouting "Allahu Akbar" (God is great) while he unloaded about a hundred rounds into a military ceremony. That's enough information for me.
 
So his name, Nidal Malik Hasan, has been laundered out of the media whenever possible. They are happy to point out that he had attained the rank of Major. But, as Diane Sawyer said, "I almost wish his name was Smith".
 
Now the journalism world is trying to find a way to untie him from Al-Queda. He cracked under the pressure of hearing returning soldiers decompress. He was an Army boy. It was all too much for one person to bear.
 
Well, here is the dirty truth: we are at war with the radical Muslim world, and they are trying to use our tolerance and "diversity" against us.
 
Obama now wants Congress to back off from investigating all this. He can control the internal military investigation more completely.
 
Because, in the perverted view of the Left here, diversity is more important than national security. And Obama does not want there to have been a domestic terror incident on his watch. So, on with the white wash!
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Today's Comic Relief

I was getting my jollies hearing about Eliot Spitzer givng a lecture at an Ethics course at Harvard. Not as a negative example, mind you- I could have taken that with almost a straight face. I was just imagining him having problems setting up: "I forgot my speech. I'm sending a girl up on Amtrak with it now."
 
Then it got interrupted by something even farther from sublime. Obama has obviously decided that 10%+ unemployment is here to stay, and the stimulus package he passed to keep it from getting to a disastrous 9% is now officially a joke. He will be having a "Job Summit" later this year to attack the problem. Maybe they'll invite the Cop and the Professor from the last summit- they can serve up more beer.They'll need it.
 
Whatever. I can hazard a few solutions. But the Grand Uniter only unites those who already agree with him. Everyone else can go to hell. George W. had to get slapped around for a while before he stopped working with Democrats- Obama came in that way.
 
With all the disagreements between us on how government "creates" jobs, Obama and I would probably agree right now that the great health care debate is the biggest obstacle to growth now. I don't see it as any sort of panacea like he does- I think that the world of capital formation and investment doesn't like uncertainty. And nobody seems to have a clue where health care will be next year.
 
And that, folks, is as far from comic relief as you can get.
 
 
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Moon Water!

The biggest news of the year was the deliberate rocket crash last month into the southern pole of the Moon. It raised a pile of debris, including a significant amount of crystallized water.
 
The pole area was chosen because it had not seen direct sunlight in at least two billion years, and was at a constant -230 degrees Farenheit. This means that any surface water would not have long since been cooked off by the sun.
 
The presence of water is the single factor that makes a permanent lunar colony worthwhile. Water is the single most cumbersome life support material to ship there, and when it is broken down into it's components, there is a plentiful source of fuel available.
 
When a base is established, it provides the most constuctive platform available for launching to other places. The low lunar gravity is far better for launching than Earth, and any terrain base is better for long term projects than anything done in orbit.
 
So let's get the economy restarted and get on it. Oh, wait- that's at least two years off, and possibly longer. Oh, well.
 
 
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My Campaign

I took a couple of weeks off from this, in order to gather my own life back after a month or so of campaigning for Mayor of my home town.
 
It is never easy to pour your life into an effort like that, and end up on the losing end. It would be a denial of humanity to say otherwise.
 
That was momentary, though, for one big reason: this was not about me, it was for the reasons that I ran. One should never enter political candidacy because you are looking for a job.
 
I did well enough where many people have asked me to run again in two years. I will likely do so, because I don't see the issues I ran for changing markedly during that time.
 
I've been in this game long enough to know that one of the biggest hallmarks of a losing campaign is not adapting and spending too much time fighting the last war.
 
In the meantime, I will be a lot more active locally, and try my best to be some sort of watchdog on the prediliction of some politicos here to be some sort of progressive, regional focus instead of overseers of a small town that, in some ways, wants to stay a small town.
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Obama's Bluff

The President has been holding back his Afghanistan troop strategy decision, ostensibly to avoid affecting the runoff election there.
 
Well, it's been 48 hours now since the opposition withdrew and handed the government to Karzai, and still...silence.
 
So, I guess it becomes more obvious that the elections he doesn't want to affect are the ones here involving the turnout of the Democrat base.
 
Which means that his priorities are politics first, military issues second.
 
No surprise here.
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Election Day Prelude

Before I kick off with the twenty hour day I have in front of me Tuesday, I must  warble one more time about what is coming nationally.
 
Earth to Obama Nation: I've been waring all of you about this for months now. The reaction has been bubbling up for a while now, and the only time the national press has noticed is when it spilled into Town Hall meetings. You see, this is a conservative reaction, and thus is brought by people who the national press corps don't speak to or hang out with.
 
Much is being made of the declining party identification, especially among Republicans. What has been largely ignored is the concurrent surge in conservative identification, without a corresponding movement in 'liberal'.
 
This is borne out in the 23rd CD in Watertown, NY. The third party put forth a conservative candidate, and the support and money for the GOP nominee died. She backed out because she was going nowhere fast. Her ploy that she was doing it for the party was shown to be farce when she turned and endorsed the Democrat the same day.
 
The Democrats have put all their eggs in Governor Corzine's basket- the only race they think they have a chance in. If Christie wins, Michelle Obama will be wearing funereal black Tuesday night, and it will no longer be a country that she can be proud of.
 
One way or another, 2010 can be a banner year for Republicans- IF they learn the lesson that the groundswell happening around them is a conservative one. If they can tap into that and tie in with the swing voter buyer's remorse in Obama, it will be an amazing year.
 
If the health care monstrosity passes, all those semi-conservative Democrats they ran to win the swing districts in 2006 and 2008 will be on the endangered species list. The crazy thing is, there is nothing the Dem leadership can do about it. Their only hope is that the Republicans will screw up the opportunity be being convinced that running "moderates" will get them back in power.
 
There are no guarantees in this life.
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