Posted by
Bill Crawford on Monday, November 02, 2009 10:28:39 PM
Before I kick off with the twenty hour day I have in front of me Tuesday, I must warble one more time about what is coming nationally.
Earth to Obama Nation: I've been waring all of you about this for months now. The reaction has been bubbling up for a while now, and the only time the national press has noticed is when it spilled into Town Hall meetings. You see, this is a conservative reaction, and thus is brought by people who the national press corps don't speak to or hang out with.
Much is being made of the declining party identification, especially among Republicans. What has been largely ignored is the concurrent surge in conservative identification, without a corresponding movement in 'liberal'.
This is borne out in the 23rd CD in Watertown, NY. The third party put forth a conservative candidate, and the support and money for the GOP nominee died. She backed out because she was going nowhere fast. Her ploy that she was doing it for the party was shown to be farce when she turned and endorsed the Democrat the same day.
The Democrats have put all their eggs in Governor Corzine's basket- the only race they think they have a chance in. If Christie wins, Michelle Obama will be wearing funereal black Tuesday night, and it will no longer be a country that she can be proud of.
One way or another, 2010 can be a banner year for Republicans- IF they learn the lesson that the groundswell happening around them is a conservative one. If they can tap into that and tie in with the swing voter buyer's remorse in Obama, it will be an amazing year.
If the health care monstrosity passes, all those semi-conservative Democrats they ran to win the swing districts in 2006 and 2008 will be on the endangered species list. The crazy thing is, there is nothing the Dem leadership can do about it. Their only hope is that the Republicans will screw up the opportunity be being convinced that running "moderates" will get them back in power.
There are no guarantees in this life.