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Name: Bill Crawford
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ABC White House News

It's just amazing to see a network news division prostitute itself out to an administraion like this.
 
Let's have a news show from the Blue Room. And a town hall meeting with 'open' questions. I've watched Obama go on for over a half hour now about where the money is going to come from in present taxation and future savings for his health care initiatives, and there is nobody in sight who has any issues with the notion that adding so many people to government funded health care (including all the illegals among us) is not going to explode our costs from day one.
 
I've gone into the health care issues before, and will be happy to again in the future. But for now, the issue is, how incredible it is to see a whole network news division allow themselves to be played like a violin like this.
 
None of this surprises me. This has been a long time coming in the networks. I wasn't surprised that Dan Rather and Mary Mapes used bogus information and evidence to try and prove that Bush was dodging military service obligations- all less than three months before a national Presidential election in 2004. It was so egregious that both of them lost their jobs over it. But Rather STILL poses it as "unvarnished truth".
 
We are living in an age where we must all find our own truth in the media. We can't trust the managing editors and talking faces to present us with anything objective anymore. It is a citizen's responsibility to do that, just as it was in 1776.
 
I don't have a problem with that. I do have a problem with a network like ABC acting the way it does and still posing itself as some sort of harbinger of objectivity, as they still do. 
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Whassup With Iran?

This is a question being forced by the turmoil in Iran right now. Even if the Muslim Clerics running the country put down the uprising and stabilize things, it has been established internationally that their hold on power is way more tenuous than anybody could have guessed a few weeks ago.
 
So this White House seems to be committed to continuing negotiations with the Mullahs to deal with their nuke program. At the same time, Obama seems to think he can plow closer to a Palestinean State solution than any of his predecessors.
 
Based on what? The power of his persuasion? Does he not only think he can convince the Isrealis to not act against Iran unilaterally, but use Teheran's nuke program as some sort of bargaining chip with the Likkud government?
 
Before the re-election sham, I could see the plausibility of trying that, if you were convinced (as Barrack obviously is) that an 'honest broker' approach with a smooth talker like Obama would win over both sides to concede enough.
 
Now it is obvious to more people than last week that dealing with Iran is an exercise in futility. Will this White House switch gears, or will he continue to chase after diplomacy in Teheran?
 
Herein lyeth the lesson du jour: George W. Bush wasn't quite as stupid or stubborn as he was made out to be. If the admission of that is a requirement to change course here, it will never happen.
 
And that is a crying shame.
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Iran At A Tipping Point

Every now and then, you get to stand witness to history. Not the little things that cause the cable news channels to flash the "ALERT" chryon, but something that you know you will be talking about years from now.
 
Well, Iran was holding a Presidential election. Everybody outside the country knew it was going to be a sham, so it was anticipated with the ho-hum of the most recent "re-election" of Putin in Russia. 
 
Then a funny thing hapened: they televised a series of debates between the candidates, and Iran was paying attention. The turnout was massive. That is to say, it was nearly twice what the polling people expected.
 
And the government did the predictable thing- they announced a landslide victory for the incumbent within four hours. That announced to the voters without any ambiguity that it was all bulls**t.
 
And they reacted. They are still reacting. They are getting killed by the dozen, sprayed with tear gas from the ground and acid from the air, and they keep coming. They have placards in Farsi and English (in case you thought our support wasn't important to them), and they are using every hacker trick they know of to get the pictures out on the net.
 
It is an amazing thing to watch. It isn't a panacea, because somebody else will pick up the 'America is Satan' ball if the Iranian mullahs get dumped overboard, just as they picked it up from Iraq when we lowered the boom there. Hell, 30% of the Iranian voters DO think we are Satan.
 
It would not be the end of our problems in the Middle East. But it would be one brick closer. I will be watching, and trying to find out ANY way I can help.
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Obama The Omnipotent

It took a little while to get to know Bill Clinton, who splashed on to our stage one year and was President the next. Jimmy Carter was a similar problem, but Bill was easier to solve because he was much more open a personality.
 
I didn't start putting the pieces together with Clinton completely until I read the best research on him, David Marianiss' First In His Class, a great work that centered around a government class he took in college that solidified his 60's mentality and it's messianic zeal to change the world.
 
I don't see such a work extant on Obama, although there may well be one coming. So I have to do the work on my own. The Audacity Of Hope doesn't help at all. It is too self centered and politically driven to break him down. He doesn't WANT to be broken down.
 
I listened to his Cairo speech and marvelled at how he created some sort of moral equivalency between Islamic repression and the French not allowing schoolchildren to wear head gear. He did the same thing here with Islamic behaviors and our treatment of the miscreants in Guantanamo.
 
Here is what struck me: he seems to think that he is above it all. He honestly thinks he is some sort of honest broker who the world should trust to mediate all their problems. This must be the basis of his political ploys to be a "post partisan" President. He doesn't regard his partisan views as partisan, because he is the fulcrum that brings everyone together.
 
The problem here is that he ran for and was elected to be the President of The United States. There is a proviso to that job that you are choosing sides a priori. For America, that is.
 
Sadly, while this may have helped pose him as a better 'not George W. Bush' in 2008, it will serve to take him down in office if he doesn't correct his instincts. I hope for his sake that he does.
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Twitter Has It's Time

I was introduced to Twitter last year. Being the technophobe that I am when I have the chance, I checked it out.
 
It is an interesting medium, with a palliative softness to it that allows it to translate simultaneously into many media. You can blog and, if you have "followers", they can track you on I.M., blogs, cell phones, etc.
 
While this has possibilities, I am not a casual communicator. Far be it for me to pose "are you there?" starting with "RU", which, while a time saver, takes the magic away from the written word and turns it into a cross between a new level of Halo II and an alarm clock. Not for me, I said. This was cemented into conviction when I learned of the millions following the likes of Anton Kuschner babbling on about choosing boxers or briefs for the day.
 
Historical interlude: long before it became the joke it is now, even the naysayers who were convinced that the UN would go the way of the League Of Nations when the new body got it's start in 1945 had to admit that it's time had come during the Cuban missile crisis.
 
Well, Twitter's time has come, and the youth of Iran are the ones bringing it. It's flexibility is posing a nightmare for the Mullah's I.T. people to keep up with and step on. The ruling clerics there are learning the hard way that controlling communication in the modern world can be a Hobbsean task.
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My Political Future

On a more personal note, a cadre of people in my home town in North Carolina are in the process of talking me into running for Mayor this year.
 
The incumbent is a Democrat. He has been re-elected, and the last time was my first year there. I voted for him. He's a nice guy, and I think he means well.
 
It's just that I think he has shown his priorities since to be quite far from what I regard as common sense. His willingness to spend tax money in these hard times is too much for me. When I got to know him as an office holder, it added a picture that wasn't as nice as him personally.
 
None of this is a given. I have no money to add to this process, and the likelihood of me being the only Republican challenger is slim. I will not allow the incumbent to win yet again by having two opponents split the opposition vote.
 
I will follow a few conservative principles, though. The first of them being, I will not chase after public office to find a job. I do it to hold true to the ideas I believe in.
 
I am a conservative, and a federalist, so it follows that government should be a last resort, and state and local government should be tried long before national policy has to set in. Because it is a local government office, there are a more than enough issues for a conservative to be active in. It should only be surprising to those who don't understand this consistency for me to be doing this.
 
The local issues here are simple. We are in hard times, and taxes should not be raised unless there is a damned good reason. There are things out there that should be handled in the town in question. The school system should not be facing the cutbacks that they are. The police should get what they need. Growth should be managed in a transparent way for all the citizens. Drinking water should not be an issue that gets managed month by month. The character of the town should not be changed, as it is something many people obviously like.
 
How difficult is that?
 
The filing period starts in July. I'll know within a month if I am running. If I do, I do not do it so I can lose and gain party stature. I am not a professional candidate.
 
Timing is everything in politics, though. If I do this, it will be a sacrifice for me and my family. They seem to be supportive to this point, but we'll see what happens.
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Right Wing Hatred

After the Oklahoma City bombing in 1995, Bill Clinton did a wonderful job using the right wing origin of the plot to engender a recovery from the Republican takeover of Congress and "the age of big government is over".
 
He made a terse statement about the right wing being responsible for the bombing, and then immediately back tracked to the more specific target of right wing "short wave operators". But the original meaning went out there, and re-energized his base for his upcoming re-election campaign.
 
Now we have a nut job who killed an abortion doctor- who hopefully will fry for his act. And a neo-Nazi who went gonzo in a Holocaust Museum in D.C., who thankfully got the death penalty applied by a couple of security guards on site.
 
I've listened for twenty years about things like Reagan's Alzheimers being ten years too late, hoping Clarence Thomas eats enough cholesterol to die soon, how Cheney should take his hunting skills into the Oval Office with Bush and on and on. Anybody who wades into MoveOn, DailyKos or the Huffington Post should be prepared for yards of this stuff.
 
So now, Fox News is responsible for the death of Dr. Tiller, because Bill O'Reilly has the temerity to pose the anti- abortion argument premises without disguise. That is because it's viewers, unlike the editorial writers at the NY Times, are just too darned stupid to make any moral difference between "abortion is murder" and "killing an abortion doctor is murder".
 
This cheesy culture war tactic is not designed to proselytize. There is no sense in winning over converts to an argument by impuging the intelligence of those who disagree with you. This is the by product of people posing themselves as moral absolutists. They are not posing the premises of an argument for your contemplation- they are posing the argument as already over and those who disagree with them as unhinged- in this case, using a few people who ARE unhinged and making the ipso facto connection to everyone else.
 
I propose to these people that they join the movement on the coasts of this great land to block out Fox News from their cable menu (like it is some sort of pornography that their children shouldn't suffer) and spare themselves the torture of exposure to people like me.
 
You know, people who continue to pose argument as competing premises, and refuse to swim in the great swamp of intolerance that you will find in cities like New York and San Francisco.
 
So, if people like me refuse to drop issues like whether or not Obama is a natural citizen, it may be because he has not addressed the issue, and not that the question has been answered and I am, by definition, a nut job. The answers that have been given are circumstantial and not definitive. I don't think it is worth doing anything about at this point, save continuing to wait for a better explanation.
 
I refuse to accept the terms of argument handed to me. I will not cow to the moral pressure of the likes of Anthony Herbert and Frank Rich, no matter how absolutely they hand it to me. Why would dissent be "patriotic" under Bush and somehow so much more unseemly now?
 
 
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Cheney "Almost Wants An Attack"

Hey Leon Panetta: I thought you were the CIA Director. You are not the CIA Political Liason Officer.
 
Do you honestly think that Cheney, after all his years in public service, many dealing directy with military or securiy issues, is now harboring any sort of prayer for political success at the expense of innocent American lives?
 
What purpose on God's green earth can statements like that possibly serve? Is there some part of you that thinks there is a chance that this will intimidate the former VP into keeping quiet?
 
Go back to Langley and get back to work. Obama dropped you into a hole outside of the beltway press corps feeding areas. Do your damned job and shut up until it is all over and it is memoir time.
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Palin vs. Letterman

Last year I gave Sarah Palin some unsolicited advice- to stop diving in to the commentary toilets so many people were swimming in, doing their level best to prove to the world that she was lacking the intelligence, perspective and sense for national office.
 
Well, I was wrong. As cheesy as the process is to swim in after these people and wring their necks, one at a time, she saw what happened to Bush and will suffer the same fate unless she covers her fishing boots with sewage.
 
She didn't have the luxury of building her reputation on her terms. She was dropped in to a political landing zone last year where she was on every television all at once, with a minimum of prep time. It didn't help at all that the news brokers, especially Katie Couric, approached her with open hostility, on a mission to prove to the world once and for all that she was as stupid as she was provincial.
 
You live and you learn. I never presume to know everything, even though it sure sounds like it when I talk.
 
So if a late night talk show host decides to call you "slutty", and renders punch lines about your daughter being the same way, I guess you have no choice but to come out with both barrels. Hell, Harry Truman did when his fully grown daughter was chopped up as a singer by an operatic reviewer. He made public mention of kicking the guy in the junk, which was not mainstream commentary of any kind in the 1940's.
 
I honestly don't know if she can recover from this to be a viable national political figure in 2012. Newt Gingrich has been out of office for a decade and he still has baggage problems from this process. But I do know now that this will be her only chance. So if she wants to put on some cami's and take potshots at Letterman from a helicopter, I'll be happy to contribute some ammo.
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North Korea: Double Secret Probation!

Obama is certainly a creature of habit. Like the Clinton White House, he stays verbally engaged. He won't let others write his history a la George W.
 
And so every time Kim Il Jung does something even more stupid, Obama must respond, as if to prove that he is on top of things in foriegn policy. When they launch another multi-stage missile or threaten another nuke deployment, what can he possibly add? The U.N. Security Council has already blowharded a really, really strict behavior condemnation that implores them to......do whatever the heck they want, I guess.
 
And unless Obama is prepared to use our military to step any of that up a notch, he should shut the hell up. Otherwise, he should just post a wall note on his Facebook account, stating flatly that there is nothing that he can do.
 
I lamented Bush's silence in the latter part of his second term. He didn't seem to see the need to correct the record that was being written for him in the daily papers and on so many bumper stickers. The bumper stickers are still out there- he was a war monger, and as stupid and disengaged as his conservative supporters were. The repetition of it all stuck with so many swing voters who ended up voting for Obama last year.
 
So we jump back to the other extreme: somebody who doesn't know how to shut up, even when it is to his (diplomatic) advantage. I think Bill Clinton grew up with it, knowing that if he said anything damaging, he could simply keep talking until it went away, was forgotten or actually corrected. I'm still trying to figure out what runs Obama. He, too, may be so used to talking about whatever he wants and being the smartest guy in the room that he is still getting used to what an incredible fish bowl his job is. Every time you talk, a hundred historians and a million bloggers are fact checking you in real time.
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The Big Cairo Speech

This was all part of the great plan. This was the "change we needed". We all wanted a stand up guy to walk into the center of the Muslim arena and tell them how sorry we all were for what we have done to them. Is that about right?
 
Mistakes? We've made plenty. But you are talking to Muslims? So was Bush. Bush took great pains to tell the world his problem wasn't with the Muslim population, but a small faction of fanatics who "hijacked a peaceful religion" for terrorist purposes.
 
OK, we'll get past that. What about the Muslims we helped in Bosnia? Iraq? Somalia? Indonesia after the great tsunami? He forgot to mention any of that? Oh, I forgot: history started when Obama was elected President- right, Michelle?
 
In 2000, Bill Clinton was making his last chase for foriegn policy legacy by getting Isreal to hand Yassir Arafat and his PLO the best deal they would ever see, and Arafat walked out of Camp David in a snit. A few weeks later, he started the great infitada, and it was made clear to the world that the PLO didn't want peace.
 
Maybe that is the greater good that Obama can bring us. Maybe he is the modern Neville Chamberlain using his silver tongue to bring us 'peace in our time', so he could get dumped on and make it all too obvious that the peace here may well be one that can only be found on the other side of war.
 
So, listen up, Muslims: this is the best you will get. Turn inward now, close down the Wahabbi schools and shut these people up, or there will be more hell coming down the road. You haven't seen America unleashed yet.
 
And you don't want to. If you make us clean out the Muslim parade ground, there will be a ton of carnage when it happens. We can live with you there. We'll find a way to even not want your stupid oil. If you insist on a world where we cannot exist for you to live a holy life, your life won't be worth much.
 
This is not your last warning. But we are a humane people, and you will get a last warning. Sooner than you think. You have no idea what is coming. I've read my history, and I do. It won't be pretty.
 
I know you all have families. When it comes down to it, you want about the same thing for your children that I want for mine. Is this all really necessary? Or, in the words of Cromwell, "I beseech you, in the bowels of Christ, think it possible that you are mistaken".
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Normandy Plus 65

The veterans of the last World War are fewer each year.
 
The world is overdue for a similar housecleaning. Our civilization was in a dark and crazy place in 1940, at the end of a long world wide Depression and dictatorships taking over large parts of Europe, Africa and Asia. By the time the Japanese Emporer left the deck of the USS Missouri in September, 1945, the old Colonial order was in smoking ruins and tens of millions of dead bodies lay among it.
 
The egocentric Baby Boomers have been smart enough to take pains to pay tribute to the generation that did the grunt work for all that. They were in their twenties when the smoke cleared, and they took over the world soon after.
 
They are all out of power now, without influence politically, economically and socially. Their Boomer children pull all the strings. This Boomer has already started to show his children how, without them, we might all be speaking German today.
 
One of the recognitions of this attrition in recent years was that at the annual Normandy reunions, the first rows of chairs were left open for the veterans and their families, to ease the path for the ever increasing number of wheelchairs, oxygen tanks and slower moving uniforms that were attending.
 
Not this year. The first seats were left for the Obama retinue, with their Obama for President hats and pins. For somebody who seems to know all the right moves, this guy sure puts up some bricks on the open court.
 
So, here I am, an American, apologizing to the world for American arrogance. I am so sorry that you all have to put up with what we elected last year. Some of us are doing our best to make amends. We'll talk in 2012.
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Obama: Are You Stupid, Or Are We?

Quick note here: after spending a week abroad apologizing for American arrogance, our President was taking press questions in Germany. He was asked about being invited to dinner with French President Sarkozy and wives, and turning them down.
 
Barrack laughed all of this off. "Don't read anything into it", he said. His itinerary was loaded up, and it was a declination based purely on scheduling issues.
 
Then, on his last day in France, he and Michelle visited a private restaurant in Paris for a cozy dinner. While it is refreshing to see him keep his marriage batteries charged, he didn't think there would be a line of paparazzi outside the window to tell the world that he told the Sarkozy's to take their invitation and stick it where there is no sunlight?
 
This is the man who wanted to take the world by storm with a surge of diplomacy? What purpose does a snub like that serve? Is there anybody on his staff who will tell him he is acting retarded again?
 
Then again, if there was, the Vice President would be walking around with a sock in his mouth. So, I guess not.
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Whassup With Afghanistan?

I've been trying to work this one out for a few weeks now. Afghanistan was supposed to be the "good" war, Iraq the "bad" war.  Kabul was supposed to be the place where we went back to the holy Colin Powell Doctrine from the Gulf War- you know, clear mission, clear exit strategy, no troops without the proper support, etc.

So here we are, having given anybody who wants to know a clear date of our withdrawal in Iraq, and Obama is alienating his own base to gird up the new primary theater next door. For what?

To build a democracy in the Middle East? Hardly, not even Bush's neo-coms were trying that. To fight Al Quaeda? Everybody is telling me they are trying to take over Pakistan (and the nuclear arsenal there). To fight the Taliban? Which one? The Afghan Taliban? The Pakistani Taliban still clearly in country? The Taliban doing opium and cocaine trafficking with the local warlords? Or do we choose one from column A and one from column B?

What the hell are we doing there, Mr. President? I am not your base, okay? I am not uncomfortable with the concept of the projection of military power. Ratchet up a teleprompter and tell me what is going on.

Bush was not a master at communicating this stuff publicly, but it didn't take much to read between the lines and figure out what the plan was. I used to defend him all the time, and was able each time to present what he was trying to do, even when it wasn't working well.

If I were trying to argue for Obama today, I wouldn't have a idea where to start. Can anybody clue me in? Tell me what I am missing? Educate me.

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The Housing Bust Is Here For A While

In the past, I have gone on here at length about how the housing market is not as bad as it is made out to be, in part because the foreclosed properties all have a hard value that can be translated into money for somebody down the road.
 
I also said that the biggest problem was that neither political party had the will to take the rest of the people in homes that they can't pay for and put them out. Everybody is waiting for the mortgage holders to do this dirty work, and they want little of it, either.
 
Well, folks, I was wrong. There is a bigger problem. We live in a country where large parts of the homeowning community do not want to live among renters, and most of the empty or soon to be empty houses are in places where the onwers around them will not tolerate a neighbor with three families and seven cars on one lot. There are a ton of zoning rules and Homeowner Association codicils that expressly forbid this.
 
There is a movement extant in many gated communities to get these empty houses razed to the ground, even if they have to collaborate to fund this process.
 
This means that there are houses out there that somebody has put money up to build that are not going to return on the investement soon, or maybe never. THAT is something that may well take years to recover from, and it certainly means that the housing construction industry is in a hell it could never have imagined in the early go-go years of the new millenium.
 
And until that problem is solved, the housing price recovery will be slow in coming.
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