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Financial Regulation Nightmare

I've gone on at length here in the past about what was at the center of this economic problem here, the subprime mortgage mess and the housing crisis. I've also ranted often about the players in Washington DC that used the Credit Reform Act to create this problem, most prominently Senator Chris Dodd and Congressman Barney Frank. So, when this bill passed and I saw the two of them posing for victory pictures on the Hill, I started getting night sweats.
 
But I try to be a reasonable guy, so I waited until I could actually get a chance to read through the bill. It took me a few days, and I'm here to tell you that this is worse than their health care. 2300 pages of gobbledygook.
 
First of all, some of the clearest things there (there is a lot of fuzz) involves providing legal access into corporate board rooms by unions and outside activist groups. But that's politics, you know? I guess they want to use their friends to maintain some sort of transparency.
 
Secondly, there is not a fargin' word in there about the two monstrosities that were at the center of all this: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. THEY don't need to be regulated. Are you kidding me?
 
But the really crazy thing is the eternal hodge podge of new regulatory bodies that are given birth by this thing. Dozens and dozens of them. Many of them are simply given a mission, and no guidelines at all reagrding exactly what they are supposed to oversee, and how. If the authors of the bill know what they want these groups to do, I'm guessing they are either going to get verbal instructions, or they're going to be allowed to make things up as they go along.
 
That is where the willful economic ignorance of these politicians comes into play. In the financial world, you make decisions regarding capital formation that go years out, and what you hope for from government is some predictability. If your leaders are trying to be Hugo Chavez, but you can depend on them for that, at least you know where they are going, and you can react the best you can.
 
This government is not allowing anybody to see their cards. It's as if they want to keep it dark, and have the power to spring out any time and do what they did to most of the auto industry. Corporations are sitting on tons of cash here. They are not expanding and they are not hiring. They waited to see what was being done to them with health care, they waited to see what was being done to them with this mess, and now they are waiting to see what is going to happen with tax levels next year. All of it is being done without any consultation, and hint of predictability, and in an atmosphere where businesses are being spoken of as the Antichrist.
 
So, in the meantime, unemployment levels stay near 10% and we all pay for extended jobless benefits. And Obama goes to factories and touts how his policies saved us all and "created or saved" three million jobs. And he wonders why only the true believers are dancing to that tune any more.
 
This is crazy, folks. This not only doesn't focus any where near the original problem, it makes things worse. I have come to expect no less from government. The new thing here is the level of ambition in their direction. Audacity is truly an appropriate part of Obama's biography summation.
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Bart Stupak Was Hosed

Congressman Stupak and his blue dog dirty dozen held up ObamaCare in the House for almost two weeks, all by themselves. They were the last real obstacle to Speaker Pelosi dropping the gavel on our health care salvation.
 
Obama had a closed door meeting with Bart, and the Congressman complained that the Hyde Amendment outlawing abortions could be ignored by simple administrative discretion- if nobody in the government sought to block, punish or prosecute, what was to stop anybody from using federal funds? The President promised to solve this with an Executive Order. I wan't the only one who laughed at this notion, as such orders are ignored all the time, too. Stupak either was not aware of this, or looking for an excuse to end the stalemate, because he used the meeting as a reason to now vote yes on the bill.
 
And now, three states (Pennsylvania, New Mexico and Maryland) are all applying for HHS funding to cover abortions in their high risk pools, through the pre-existing condition statutes. Nobody seems to be surprised.
 
My point here is not that federal money is being used. Obama is fond of explaining that elections have consequences, and in this crazy democracy, I totally agree with him.
 
My point is that Obama is a moral relativist, and as a consquence of that, his word to anybody, on any given day, is worthless. Next time you see him speechifying and lamenting how his detractors "don't have their facts straight", keep in mind that this President wouldn't know what a fact was, even if it hit him in the buttinski with a shovel.
 
Crude segue, while I'm at it: here's another observation about our President. He lamented recently that the phenomenon of lowered Jewish support here for him may have something to do with the fact that his middle name is Hussein.
 
Obama suffers from something he shares with many intelligent people: a blinding arrogance. He is a person who takes the time to think through issues, and reach a conclusion. When faced with disagreement, the first reaction is to wonder how on earth, if you thought it through as well, you could possibly reach a different answer? They don't see the world through the Greek lens of varying premises, all possibly logical. They see it as their opponent having an underlying problem. You are reacting to my middle name, and it is clouding your judgement.
 
This problem is rampant in our larger cities, where their point of view predominates, and you don't spend a lot of time interacting with people who disagree with you. You know there is disagreement out there, and the acolytes share the big picture together, trading talking points and having nobody around to inform them what problems there may be with the talking points. When real disagreement presents itself in human form, there is a reaction that is harsher than normal discussion.
 
This happened in Obama's power hallways in Chicago. It happens in parties and get togethers in New York City. It happens in teacher conference rooms all over the country. And now it happens at the White House. It wasn't so bad with the Clintons, they came from Arkansas, where you could throw a rock and find a conservative who didn't think much of you. Chicago is a progressive's sanctuary city. What the hell do you expect?
 
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George Steinbrenner Moves On

The baseball world that George stepped into in 1973 was still a few steps away from whirlwind. The legal steps that became free agency were still playing out, and the Yankees were living their Horace Clarke days of obscurity. What became obvious was that George was going to be very good at becoming a large part of the whirlwind himself.
 
His aggressive use of free agency not only rapidly built the team into a power, but upped the ante for everybody else. The Yankees from that era became "The Bronx Zoo", a wild, talented ragtag bunch that fought like crazy but managed to put it together on the field.
 
After many others developed a taste for free agency too, the Yankees came back to the pack, and George's football management style became more obviously a handicap. He went through managers and general managers very quickly, and his own baseball judgement weaknesses became more obvious with each passing year. During this time, he infuriated many of the Yankee family, and many started pulling back from events and oldtimer's games. Yogi Berra's angry exodus was the last straw for many of them.
 
Then came his second suspension from baseball, for his actions in his great feud with Dave Winfield. During his absence, Bob Watson and Gene Michael scouted, recruited and built the major components of the great Yankee dynasty that started in '96. That was all in place before George was reinstated.
 
And then 1998 happened. I have never seen, before or since, a team that had every roster spot filled before spring training even started. That team had no truly dominant player, but was composed from stem to stern of really good players who fed off each other and approached the game with professional aggression. Before they went into a September coast, they were winning games at a rate that hadn't been seen since the 19th century. And when you watched the dugout, the odd couple running things would always be the same: Joe Torre the manager looking like he was falling asleep, and Don Zimmer the bench coach, looking like he was about to run onto the field and kill somebody.
 
That team was the best I have ever seen, and easily one of the best of all time. I am not a Yankee fan, and I certainly have no love for the pansy ways of the American League, but I have an autographed baseball from that team. That team accomplished so much that it was the x-factor that finally mellowed old George and gave Yogi and all the other exiles an excuse to come back into the Yankee family. It was touching to watch it all happen when it did.
 
George was not a baseball man. But he provided enough money to find some really good ones, and he finally learned to step out of the way and let them build teams that would keep the seats full and the TV's on. The players, workers and beat writers would all say that he ran a first class operation. The problem was, it was all funded by proprietary broadcasting practices, and stratospheric ticket prices. Those who grew up in New York experience a sense of shock when experiencing major league baseball in other cities, and how accessible it is. Charging a family over $200 a game for tickets, parking and food is not a path for keeping the game alive for the next generation.
 
That I can't forgive him for, even with the great teams he gave us all to watch. But he was what he was, and there never were any apologies coming from his office for what he did- which I can't help but admire. May he rest in peace.
 
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The Government And The Gulf

This may turn into an ugly segue half way through this, but as I dig for causation, I find it unavoidable, Please bear with me here.
 
The situation in the Gulf is actually looking up. BP is in the process of putting a new cap on the well, one which they are convinced will absorb most of the outflow. Being that continuing to recover and refine the oil from that reserve has been one of their primary goals, I don't doubt them. In another month, the relief wells should finish the job. By early next year, a remarkable amount of this crap will be anciant history. (I hope).
 
There is still a lot of oil out there, and an active hurricane season will indeed be a potential FEMA nightmare. Thing one: a whole passel of beaches in the area have barely been touched by the slick. Thing two: federal testing on local seafood has shown much of it to be unaffected to this point. But the fisherman are grounded, applying to BP for benefits! That's because that is what the government is encouraging them to do.
 
I'll simply state also that I'm at a loss to figure why Washington didn't step in two months ago and force feed a solution to BP that involved shutting that damned thing down for good. You have to drop a sarcophagus on the thing. No more oil from that reserve? Too bad. No, folks, BP dictated their terms, and the feds swallowed them whole. Maybe that was part of the $20B deal, I don't know.
 
But we get to pass money out to the locals. BP money, our money. In a bureacracy, if you reach the end of the budget year with money left over, you spend it any way you can, because if you let the world know you can get along on 5% less, that's what you get with the new budget.
 
And that's the big picture. Obama inherited a three trillion dollar government, running on a $500B deficit- the other $800B in 2008 was the TARP outlays. The White House wants to set the new baseline as a FOUR trillion dollar government, with $1.5 trillion as deficit. Once you establish that you can't cut back from that, then you find the way to pay for it.
 
That's where cap & trade, value added taxes and assorted other ideas come into play. Because, (choke back tear, concerned look), we have to be responsible and balance the budget.
 
Cut spending? Are you serious? The federal government has not stopped hiring throughout this glorious recession. There are no furloughs, wage freezes, givebacks going on among federal employees.
 
They need to spend it, as fast as they can. And if that means shutting down the economy in the Gulf and putting them all on federal relief, you gotta do what you gotta do. Why teach a man to fish, when you can throw them a bone?
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Our Justice Department, Hard At Work

They're suing one of their own states, for a law that hasn't taken effect yet. The complaints of potential racial profiling, at the center of their concerns publicly, aren't in the suit, just added as an observational rider on the end of it.
 
They want to jump all over a cop in California, convicted by a jury for mere involuntary manslaughter.
 
But if you get filmed standing in front of a polling booth on Election Day, waving a nightstick at people, that's nothing for us to worry about.
 
I don't have anything to add to that. I'm still trying to digest the notion that one set of standards could create those three scenarios.
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ObamaCare Gets A Workhorse

Hello, Donald Berwick. Who? The new guy in Washington, the one soon to be running Medicare/ Medicaid. The guy who will soon be in charge of nearly a quarter of the entire government's appropriations.
 
He got in on a recess appointment. That is nothing new in the world, that happens all the time. The interesting part is that his appointment has been sitting in the Senate for quite a few months now, and Sen. Baucus sat on it for good reason. The Democrats were afraid that if he was brought up in Committee, lots of people (including some in his own party) would open a microphone and beat the snot out of the White House.
 
So here he is, Obama's guy. And he is all about rationing. I told all of you that the only way, the only way the new health care was going to save any money in the long run was through draconian rationing. You know, the way the Brits have been doing it for decades. You don't think this is what he is all about? Open up his name on YouTube, and take a listen to any of the top three snippets.
 
And how do they do that? Efficacy studies, folks. You want a hip replacement? If you are 50 years old and still part of the work force, get in line. Oh, I'm sorry, you are retired? Here's some pain killers. Suck it up and limp a little, for gosh sakes, the acturial tables say you're going to die in a few years. You're not worth that expense. We can't afford it.
 
Sound a little over the top? Go talk to a Brit. Ask them what happens when you are retired and get an aggressive cancer. It's been presented to all of us in the media here that calling up the phrase "death panels" is the moral equivalent of associating yourself with a certain mid twentieth century German dictator, but that doesn't mean there isn't anything to it.
 
This guy doesn't surprise me. The Progressive movementhere in the late 19th century here was the precursor to all kinds of miserable eugenics. If you give that power to people, what the hell do you think it will lead to? Do a little research on these Obama people. Who are their mentors? It's not hard to find out- most of them are Baby Boomers, and running their mouth is their birthright.
 
How much crap are we willing to absorb here? No economic recovery, a static stock market, 10% unemployment, a murder circus on our Southern border, and this? How much can you go along with?
 
The short answer is: a few more months.
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American Exceptionalism

I've gone on at length on the two great things that President Obama does to divide us. One is that he is clearly on the counter-culture side of the culture war. This is nothing new, the guy who came before him was on the other side of that (although not nearly as far), and Clinton introduced us to the concept of a counter-culture White House.

Obama has a deeper problem: he is not an American exceptionalist. That is to say, he thinks we are nothing special on this planet, and therefore should stop lording ourselves over everybody else. This is the basis for his apology tour, now two years old and still running.

The period running from the Declaration of Independence to around the deaths of Jefferson and Adams fifty years later, is dubbed by historians as "The Era of Good Feeling". This was a time when the nation was much smaller, most news was communicated in person and almost everybody alive had lived through our birth pangs. That meant that just about everybody was invested in America, the concept. 

In the near two centuries hence, this has all been diluted by time, events, a burgeoning population ever more distant from the direct experience of the Founders. Worse, there is a group of people here, centered in parts of the counter-culture, that are deliberately trying to rid us of much of this phenomenon.

Well, count me out of that one. I don't worry about what is or isn't in the textbooks, my children will grow up with an earful of what a unique place this country is, and what it means in the world today.

Think about it: we have the most powerful military the world has ever seen, and our history of imperial aggression in the last century is remarkably free of territorial ambition. We have spent a ton of money and shed a lot of blood during the same time, protecting others from ambitious dictatorships. We are the last bastion of liberty on earth. We own the least likely government to seize power, money or property (although we seem to be trying to prove otherwise at present).

I still believe we are the cradle of human rights on this planet. I believe that we are the bulwark of stability for our civilization here. I am as invested in America, the concept as the Founder's generation was, and I will not allow those who want to drag us into the swamps on the other side of the oceans to succeed. Not as historians, not as politicians, not as public figures. 

The concept of American exceptionalism was popularized in DeTocqueville's "Democracy In America" in the early nineteenth century, and has been a connecting force with Americans ever since. The movement to negate that is something that grew into power a century ago, went back into hiding during the two World Wars, and is back with us again. 

On Independence Day, at least there is a siesta from this struggle, and almost everybody here raises glass to America. I'll take what I can get. I'll cook a slew of dead animal flesh, do a cigar and cognac, raise a toast to the Greatest Generation, and blow some things up. 

Tomorrow, I'll return to the cultural trenches. America will not become unexceptional on my watch.


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Budget? We Don't Need No Stinking Budget?

The Emergency War Supplemental Bill passed the House this week by a 215-210 vote, with no Republican help at all. The Democrats attached an interesting document to it that "deemed as passed" a $1.1 trillion "budget" for next year.
 
I kid you not. "Deemed as passed". Deemed! For the non-lawyers among you, that means nobody needed to actually vote on it.
 
And why should they vote on it? The damned budget doesn't exist! This crap, if it passes the Senate, will simply allow them to start spending the money in October for the next fiscal year. They get to spend your money, without any of the responsibility the Constitution attached to it.
 
Has this ever happened before? No. I thought the Dem Congress in 1993 was stretching things when they gave provisional floor vote power to the reps from Guam, Puerto Rico and Washington D.C., desperate as they were in their last days there for votes of any kind.
 
This Congress has promoted itself to a level of lunacy that boggles my mnid. I don't speak casually there. I am enough of a history buff to know of all the shennigans that surrounded Clay, Webster and Calhoun in the 19th century. And the circus that Tom Reed provoked as Speaker in 1910.
 
This circus has way more Volkswagens, and more red noses hiding in each one. It seems that they know their Chairmanships are soon to be histoire and they are turning over every crazy rock they can before their great day in the sun ends.
 
They all are anxious to get the hell out now, and face the hardest campaigns of their careers. When it is all over in November, and the likelihood becomes certainty, wait until the lame duck session before Christmas. You think it's crazy now? You haven't seen anything yet.
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Financial Reform Bill Passes

Imagine my relief. No more recessions. Right?
 
Than again, I should have known it was what it was when two of the Three Musketeers of the housing crisis posed for victory pictures after the Senate vote. Talking to Chris Dodd and Barney Frank about fixing this recession is like having your starting pitcher give up six home runs in three innings and then getting into an argument about how the outfielders were playing too shallow.
 
So, why should I be surprised when an omnibus bill designed to prevent another housing crisis downturn would not have any provision at all for two of the three institutions left, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, who have yet to pay back their bailout money (AIG being the other)?
 
Why should I ever expect these two clowns to learn a lesson from this? They obviously don't see their actions as culpable in any way.
 
How do I know this? The emergency war supplemental bill was in the process of getting a few budget provisions added to it (the subject of my next entry here), so Senator Corker (Tennessee) tried to attach a provision that would require any Fannie or Freddie housing loans to have a 5% down payment. Of course it went down, 52-47, but the kicker was Dodd's explanation: "Passage of such a requirement would restrict home ownership to only those who can afford it".
 
You can't make this stuff up, folks.
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Inflexible Obama Twists In The Wind

Politics ain't beanball, goes the old saying. Yesterday's genius turns into today's dunce.
 
Well, here we are, kibbitzing still over the immigration problem. The "secure the border" group is larger than ever, thanks to the horror stories emanating from the actions of the Mexican drug cartels on our border- an extention of their even more aggressive behavior in Mexico itself. Obama refuses to pay anything more than lip service to this, sending a few thousand National Guard types down there, while directly challenging Arizona's efforts in every way he can think of.
 
His address to the nation on this subject was a call for more immigration "reform", which I agree is needed, but (unlike 2006), I have long since placed as priority two on the subject, for the same reasons as the great majority of the country that is presently supporting Arizona.
 
This is a week after he was trying to get the other members of the G-20 summit to not dry up the Keynesian rivers yet, and worry first about government stimulus and not so much the debt they are all piling up. The public debt is clearly scaring the willies out of Europeans as much as it is here, but he is leaving that for his blue ribbon commission later this year.
 
Hell, Ross Perot pulled one fifth of the Presidential vote in '92 talking forcefully about a deficit problem that was small by today's standards. Obama is clearly not only missing this groundswell, but is also still not directly focusing on America's number one worry- the continued unemployment problem.
 
He seems to think his best shot this November is to take the 35% of the country who hold his priorities, and get them so jacked up that they will raise the money and get the vote out for him to hold Congress.
 
The present line is that it is quite likely that there will be a republican House Speaker next year. The Senate is more of an uphill battle, but even if the Democrats hold it, they will have a new Majority leader, as Reid is dead meat in Nevada. This is all supported by Zogby and Rasmussen, two of the most responsible handicappers out there.
 
Whoever is giving Obama his political advice should be fired. The problem there, though, is that Obama is a narcissist, and holds to little advice beyond his own. I don't know what a rational Democrat could do about that.
 
 
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Al Gore's New Trip

I really don't care what passed with him four years ago. Nor do I give a rip exactly why he is getting divorced.
 
His personal problems may be what's behind his curious silence on the oil spill in the Gulf, but I find his absence on that subject to be constructive, given the argumentative standards he has established for himself.
 
The truly interesting part is his contribution to the resurrection of the Clinton's, already well under way. It has been noted by many on the campaign trail this year that Bill Clinton's political acumen is more welcome on the 2010 trail than any of the Chicago Mafia in the White House. This part is nothing but good news in the effort to re-establish Hillary as an independent player in Presidential politics again, her service as Sec State only adding points for her loyalty.
 
The really crazy part is that Gore's police report is manna from heaven for Bill and Hillary- glorified comeuppance for a Vice President who never stopped ripping Bill for how his moral failures became an insurmountable obstacle for a 2000 campaign Al thinks, by all rights, he should have won.
 
Gore's moralizing over this was directed at both Clintons. He was close enough to them to know that Hillary knew all about Bill's ways, and her anger at Bill in 1998 was not that he played around with an intern, but did so in a way that almost got them thrown out of power.
 
Al made a habit of looking down his nose at Bill's incapability of controlling himself, as well as Hillary's tolerance of it in exchange for political power. Now he is being served humble pie from both Clintons, and I don't imagine it being pleasant.
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RIP Robert Byrd

The last of the old school Southern Democrats has passed. I always used him as the last example of what happens to Democrats in government service. Republicans have much more of a propensity for living term limits, leaving office before they reach the point where assisted living is no longer an option. Democrats keep going until you have to get them to fog a mirror before you know they will help you with a needed floor vote.
 
I've been a candidate for public office, so I do not begrudge him his half century of public service, and all the sacrifices that had to go with it. But what he was has to be noted.
 
He was a moral relativist, who lived in a political party of moral relativists. That is why Trent Lott was dumped from a Senate leadership position by his own party after one stupid remark, and Byrd was allowed to go on forever with a life apologia after following his Ku Klux Klan history with a vociferous opposition to the Civil Rights law votes in 1964-65.
 
He was also a real Constitutional scholar- not a victim of the "charter of negative liberties" taught to Obama years later in the hallowed halls of the Ivy League. During the Clinton impeachment trial, he knew the real basis of Clinton's troubles: you can't go before a judge, swear an oath and then try and reset the rules of testimony engagement. That doesn't fly as a lawyer, much less as a sitting President. However, after taking the President to task for this, he happily went on to the politically expedient vote of innocence. That speaks of contradicting standards all by itself.
 
Byrd was also the king of earmarks and pork. There is reported to be over three billion dollars worth of things in West Virginia with his name over the doorway. He was the champion of a sport that is now killing us all, led now by a President who swears it off while he signs dumpster fulls of it into law- another trail marker of a moral relativist.
 
Byrd was such a part of the Senate furniture that I often witnessed some of my greatest C-Span amusements through him. He would ramble (sometimes in the most literal sense of the word) past his time limit, and the gavel would rarely come down on him. The floor would patiently wait for him to finish talking about his hound dogs, and then go back to the budget provision on the dais.
 
Yes, he died a dinosaur. But he was a big one in that world. May he rest in peace.
 
Follow up: At Byrd's funeral, Bill Clinton's eulogy did not ignore the KKK issue out of respect or politeness. A moral relativist sees no need to avoid the issue. A true Sixties child would see no problem in challenging the dignity of a funeral to complete a debate point unnecessarily. I can always count on a Clinton to make my case for me.
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The New Civil War

I think our Secretary of State, being interviewed out of country recently, jumped the gun a bit and let out that our Justice Department is going to take Arizona to court over their new immigration laws. 

Officially, this is only in the "study" phase at this point, if you listen to the White House. I guess this means that Eric Holder is finally reading the damned thing.

Now the pile on continues. Two federal functions slated to take place in Arizona are being pulled to another location. The federal government is boycotting one of it's own states! I can understand California and Colorado threatening such things- states are equal in this government's food chain. 

Not Washington DC, though. Before the last Civil War, the states seceded from the union, the union did not actively push them off the cliff (although a case can be made that they knew secession would be a result of their actions). It is the conscious active nature of this that makes it different today. DC is acting as if they were not a servant of the states, but a disapproving overseer. 

I don't see any of this envisioned in the Federalist Papers. Here's the thing, though: the Progressive movement, circa 1910 or today doesn't give a whit about history. They are moral relativists.

This is a rift in the political sphere here that this White House is emboldening into starker relief each week with their actions. If this does not get seriously checked in the next two election cycles, we will be on the verge of another Civil War. 

Disagreement has always been with us. When it is acted into daily reality with such a disrespect, there are consequences. This is not a third world country where generations try and live their lives and feed their families while a series of rulers does the fight club thing. The special thing about America is that everybody grows up thinking they have a piece of the action in how their government works. 

You can't take a country with two centuries of Detocqueville attitude and realistically expect them to lie down for this. Next time your curiosity digs into where the Tea Party people are coming from, this is a real good place to start. 
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Well, I Was Wrong On That One

Obama took less than twelve hours to make me to eat this crow. One leg of my triangular reasoning (Petraeus won't do it) was filled with smoke. Why? Because, as it turns out, General Petraeus is a damned saint.

He was the only man who could take the Afghan offensive over in mid stream like this. He demoted himself from CENTCOM to do it, too. Now they will have to find somebody else to take over there, although the new Afghan theater boss will essentially be running with carte blanche from Command.

Not that Dave will have any more pull with Obama and Biden than anybody else did. You won't see any more troops being committed, or any extentions of the politically based withdrawal timetables already set. The crazy thing about Obama is that he sets the end dates to keep his base happy here- like with the closing of Gitmo, he will be happy to hold people there indefinitely if necessary. He just doesn't realize the damage he does with his mouth with the troops on the ground there. A commitment to withdrawal does nothing but embolden the insurgents there.

At any rate, the extra attention may serve some good. Like, for starters, what the hell are we doing there? Bush did a lousy job of explaining and re-explaining why we were in Iraq, but it wan't hard for me to figure out his rationale. I could present it to you in five or ten minutes. You may disagree with the premises, but I had premises to work with. Obama campaigned on Iraq being a "bad war" and Afghanistan being the "good war we should have been fighting all along".

How does that work? Iraq had one government ruling a secular near-middle class (for the region), and now has another single government. Karzai rules Kabul, and lets the warlords in the nether regions manufacture their opium and trade with the Pakistanis at will. It is a chaotic zoo. The only advantage we have over the Soviet occupation twenty years ago is that the locals all know we are not trying to occupy them.

The bottom line, though, is that McChrystal was irresponsible and I would have pulled him, too. The good news is, we have the best counter insurgency guy in the world in command there now, even if he is being supported here by a clown from Delaware and an ambulance chasing ignoramus from Chicago. I still hope we can kick butt there, even if it is like playing in the Masters with a ten handicap.

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McChrystal Goes To The Woodshed

The really interesting part of all this is, how did Rolling stone get this one? The short answer is, the guy was only set to sit with them for a weekend, but they all got waylayed by the iceland volcano, and it turned into a few months. That's enough time for people to let their hair down...
 
Rumor has it that McChrystal has already offered to tender resignation. The question becomes, will it be accepted?
 
I think Obama will let him skate with a Presidential lecture, for two big reasons. The first one is obvious: the General is just about the only guy left who Karzai trusts in Kabul. The other reason is pathetic. Obama doesn't have anybody else in the offing to take his place, and Petraeus won't do it. The pathetic part is that this White House would not be able to formulate enough of a continuation of counter-insurgency strategy to even hold an interview for a replacement. Obama signed off on Bush's plan for Iraq, and he signed off on what they had planned for Afghanistan. Outside of that, they don't know what to do.
 
It gets worse.  The new textbook on counter-insurgency is as follows: 1) Get enough boots on the ground to dominate the population centers, and base them there so they are not leaving at any time. 2) Bribe the movers and shakers with cash-ola to hold them over until they trust you. 3) Go out at night with your Spec Forces and kill your targets, and don't stop when you get collateral damage. 4) Build and rebuild until you are the infrastucture.
 
The Spec Forces and CIA people all love McChrystal because he does the kill part well. Obama has been mucking up the works by hedging the numbers in the first step, when he is not dragging his feet on commitment. He is also stepping all over the last step by announcing endgame withdrawal schedules in advance.
 
This administration has the military acumen of Pee Wee's Playhouse, and it is no wonder that the professionals have such disdain for them. Obama is another version of Lyndon Johnson: a guy who is politically afraid to cut his losses and pull out, while insisting on micromanaging the military with his ignorance. Are you worried about another Vietnam? Obama is in the process of creating one. Thanks a lot.
 
 
 
 
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